Common questions
What is the 4% rule?
The 4% rule is a rule of thumb from retirement research: if you withdraw about 4% of your portfolio in your first year of retirement and adjust that amount for inflation each year after, a diversified stock-and-bond portfolio has historically lasted at least 30 years. Turned around, it means you can retire once your portfolio is about 25 times your annual spending (because 1 ÷ 4% = 25).
Is 4% or 3% a safer withdrawal rate?
A lower rate is safer but requires a bigger nest egg and a later retirement. 4% withdraws 25× your spending; 3% withdraws about 33×, which cushions against long retirements, weak early returns, and higher inflation, at the cost of years more saving. 5–6% lets you retire sooner but carries a real risk of running out. Toggle between them above to see the trade-off directly.
Should I use a real or nominal rate of return?
Use a real (after-inflation) return here. The calculator works entirely in today's dollars, so your target nest egg and spending stay numbers you understand now, and that matches how the 4% rule is defined (the withdrawal is inflation-adjusted). A common assumption is roughly 7% for all-stocks after inflation, around 5% for a balanced mix, and about 4% for a conservative one.
Does this include Social Security, pensions, or taxes?
No. This is a portfolio-only estimate: it shows when your invested savings alone can cover your spending. Social Security or a pension would reduce the portfolio income you need; taxes and healthcare would raise your real spending. Treat the result as a clean baseline, then adjust your spending number for those.
What return should I assume?
Because everything is in today's dollars, enter a return after inflation. Historically U.S. stocks have returned roughly 7% a year after inflation, a balanced portfolio around 5%, and a conservative one near 4%. These are long-run averages, not guarantees; use the sensitivity table to see how a return one or two points lower changes your retirement age.
Can it tell me how much to save, not just when I can retire?
Yes. Switch the goal at the top: it can solve for the age you can retire, for the amount you'd need to save each month to retire by a target age, or for the income you could safely spend if you retire at a chosen age.
Is the retirement calculator really free?
Yes, free, no account, no upsells. Every result shows the formula behind it, and you can download the full year-by-year projection as a spreadsheet.