Rental market · Woodland Park, CO · Incorporated city
Woodland Park, CO: average rent, home values, and rental yield
Mountain · Population 7,949
Why this market does or does not qualify
Overall City Market Score rank #1,209 of 4,812. It does not enter the Buy & Hold shortlist under the baseline screen. Why rank and cash flow can disagree
Price × rent decision grid · 25% down
Change the two inputs that usually decide the deal. Green cells clear the three financial requirements before the separate quality and data gates.
| Monthly cash flow / Hold Coverage | 10% below entry$341,310 | Entry estimate$379,233 | 10% above entry$417,157 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% higher rent$2,306/mo | −$180/moHC 0.89 · does not clear | −$400/moHC 0.79 · does not clear | −$620/moHC 0.70 · does not clear |
| Modeled rent$2,096/mo | −$350/moHC 0.80 · does not clear | −$560/moHC 0.70 · does not clear | −$780/moHC 0.62 · does not clear |
| 10% lower rent$1,887/mo | −$510/moHC 0.70 · does not clear | −$730/moHC 0.62 · does not clear | −$950/moHC 0.55 · does not clear |
Expense waterfall · base case
Monthly, rounded to $10. NOI excludes CapEx and debt service.
- Scheduled rent+$2,100/mo
- Vacancy allowance−$100/mo
- Management−$160/mo
- Maintenance−$100/mo
- Property tax−$140/mo
- Insurance allowance−$160/mo
- NOI+$1,430/mo
- CapEx reserve−$100/mo
- Debt service−$1,890/mo
- Cash flow−$560/mo
Two supported strengths
Growth 65/100 and Stability 61/100.
Weakest measured signal
Cash Flow is the weakest category at 44/100.
Primary evidenced risk: for-sale supply is the weakest measured factor (26th national percentile). Data caveat: price is Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI (5th–35th percentile); rent is ZORI asking rent and is not bedroom- or property-matched. Insurance is a 0.5% annual allowance, not a quote.
Scenario buy-hold-v1-2026-09-19: 7% fixed financing for 30 years; 20% and 25% down; 5% vacancy; 8% management on collected rent; 5% maintenance and 5% CapEx on scheduled rent; measured local property tax; 3% closing costs. Qualification also requires positive cash flow, Hold Coverage at least 1.10, nonnegative cash flow after 10% lower rent, and the existing quality and data gates.
Property verification checklist
- Confirm achievable rent with bedroom-matched comps, current listings, and any existing lease.
- Use the parcel’s actual tax bill and reassessment rules.
- Obtain a landlord insurance quote, including wind, flood, or named-storm coverage where relevant.
- Inspect roof, structure, mechanicals, deferred maintenance, and immediate capital needs.
- Verify utilities, HOA, licensing, inspection, registration, and local rental rules.
- Replace the modeled loan with a current lender quote, points, closing costs, and reserve requirements.
Why this grade
Overall 55.3 is a weighted geometric mean of the three category scores. Because they are multiplied rather than averaged, their distances from a perfect 100 combine as an exact identity, and each category's share of that distance is the arithmetic below, not an estimate. Cash Flow carries 49% of it, which is what makes it the binding constraint on this grade.
Inside Cash Flow, the shortfall splits over the factors the model scored here, exactly, in proportion to their published weights. The largest component is expense-adjusted yield (weight 22 of the category's 35, 53rd national percentile, 53% of the category's own shortfall); next is price to income (weight 13 of the category's 35, 28th national percentile, 47% of the category's own shortfall).
What this is not. It is not a claim that a different value on any one factor would produce a different score or a different grade. Every factor is scored as a national percentile and the grade is a percentile cut against the other 4,812 ranked markets, so this market's position moves only relative to all of them, never on its own. 2 of the 13 factors could not be measured for this market (violent crime, property crime) and had no credible reference group to impute from, so they are dropped: each category renormalizes over the factors that remain, and a dropped factor is never scored as neutral. 1 of the 13 factor was imputed (months of supply): the model had no city input of the kind it scores, so it used a reference median instead of a measurement (the same county, or the same state and population band; a national median for a yield cost input), and the factor table marks it as a fallback.
How Woodland Park ranks nationally
Each row places Woodland Park among all 4,812 ranked U.S. markets: the marker is this city, the centre tick is the national median, and the bar runs from one to the other. Further right is better for an investor; inverted measures (crime, vacancy, price-to-income) are already flipped.
What a deal looks like here
A market-level buy-box for Woodland Park, built from this market's own numbers: the investor-entry price, its rent, and local carrying costs. The market grade is a quality screen; the deal verdict below is this financing scenario only. An illustrative scenario, not a listing.
Does not meet screen. At 25% down, named scenarios span −$730 to −$560/mo after reserves (10% lower-rent stress to base case). This range is not a confidence interval.
Buy target = Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI (5th–35th percentile) $379,233; typical home value $531,192. Rent = Zillow ZORI typical asking rent. Assumptions: 25% down, 7% / 30-yr, 5% vacancy, 8% management on collected rent, 5% maintenance, 5% CapEx reserve excluded from NOI and subtracted from cash flow, 0.5% insurance, 0.43% property tax. Illustrative market-level scenario: not a listing, appraisal, recommendation, or underwriting decision. Zillow price and rent as of 2026-08-31; dataset generated 2026-10-06.
Price & rent history
Home value $163,234 → $531,192 (2000-01–2026-08) · Asking rent $1,815 → $2,096 (2023-03–2026-08)
Source: Zillow ZHVI (home value), quarterly from 2000-01, monthly from 2016-09 to 2026-08; Zillow ZORI (asking rent), monthly from 2023-03 to 2026-08. Home value uses the left axis, rent the right; toggle either series, change the range, hover to read any point. Gaps in the source series are left as gaps - never interpolated.
ZIP markets in Woodland Park
1 Census ZIP Code (ZCTAs) officially overlap Woodland Park by land area · 1 data-eligible for subscores. Overlap is Census land-area share, not a population or address share. Each ZIP Code's overall Rental Investor ZIP Score, grade and canonical national rank are shown below (the two component signals, affordability and rental market, are separate percentiles). There is no city-scoped ZIP rank: city overlap isn't a ranking universe, so only the national rank is shown. These ZIP rankings sit in the ZIP universe only, never mixed with, and not directly comparable to, Woodland Park's city ranking. Vintage: the Key metric column below is Census ACS 2020–2024 (5-year), the same survey release as the figures used above for Woodland Park itself; a city and a ZIP Code are different geographies, so the same measure can still show a different number at each level.
1 of 1 overlapping ZIP Code area, scoredgrade, overall Rental Investor ZIP Score and national rank for each, on a separate model from this page's city scoreShow table
| ZIP Code | Overallgrade · natl rank | Tier · overlap | Affordabilitysignal · natl rank | Rental marketsignal · natl rank | Key metric |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80863Woodland Park | C 54#6,560 nat | RankedPrimary | 61#5,264 of 20,132 · top 26% | 47#11,174 of 20,132 · bottom 45% | 4.3%Survey yield |
The honest read
Woodland Park scores 55/100 overall (grade B): 44 for Cash Flow, 65 for Growth, and 61 for Stability, each a 0–100 score built from the factors in that category. The scenario above shows what a representative investor-entry purchase pencils out to at today's rates. Everything we can measure is in the table below, with its source.
Every factor, shown
The Overall score blends three category scores built from thirteen factors: Cash Flow (35%), Growth (35%), and Stability (30%). The tag on each percentile names the category a scored factor feeds; untagged rows are context, not scored. Each band chip restates that row's percentile in words. Every value carries its source and as-of date; a fallback source or imputed value is marked fallback. How the score works.
| Factor | Value | National percentile | Source · as-of | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expense-adjusted yield | 2.8% | Above median53rd percentile · Cash Flow | Zillow ZORI/ZHVI · 2026-08-31 | Annual rent divided by price, net of a modeled vacancy, tax, capex, and management allowance: the core of the Cash Flow category and what the score is actually computed from. The unadjusted gross yield is shown elsewhere on this page. |
| Price to income | 5.4x | Below median28th percentile · Cash Flow | Zillow + ACS income · 2026-08-31 | Home price over local median income. Lower is cheaper relative to what people earn. Part of the Cash Flow category. |
| Population growth | 0.8%/yr | Above median66th percentile · Growth | Census PEP · Census PEP 2020→2025 (vintage 2025) + Census PEP 2015→2025 (vintages 2019+2025) | Census population trend for the place, capped at 4.5%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate): the heaviest factor in the Growth category. |
| Job growth | 1.0%/yr | Above median67th percentile · Growth | BLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2019→2025 (pre-COVID anchor; 2025 is an 11-month average) + BLS LAUS county annual 2015→2025 | County employment trend, capped at 4.0%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate). A Growth-category factor. |
| Income growth | 5.0%/yr | Below median48th percentile · Growth | Census ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Local median-income trend. A Growth-category factor. |
| Rent growth | 5.0%/yr | Top quartile86th percentile · Growth | Zillow ZORI · 3yr to 2026-08-31 | A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year rent trend (the model's own weighting). A Growth-category factor. |
| Home-value growth | 4.3%/yr | Below median38th percentile · Growth | Zillow ZHVI · 3yr + 10yr to 2026-08-31 | A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year price trend (the model's own weighting). A small Growth-category factor. |
| Violent crime | not measured | - | FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this place | Reported violent crimes per 100,000 residents a year (the FBI's monthly agency rates, times 12). No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. City-level data cannot resolve within-neighborhood risk. |
| Property crime | not measured | - | FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this place | Reported property crimes per 100,000 residents a year. No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. |
| Unemployment | 3.9% | Above median61st percentile · Stability | BLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2025 (11-month average) | County unemployment rate. Lower is steadier, a Stability-category factor. |
| Rental vacancy | 5.0% | Above median51st percentile · Stability | Census ACS B25004 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Share of rentals empty. Lower means more pricing power. A Stability-category factor. |
| Property tax rate | 0.4% | Top 10%96th percentile · Stability | Census ACS B25103/B25077 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Median tax over median value. A direct drag on cash flow, scored in the Stability category as carrying-cost burden. |
| Months of supply fallback | 4.2 mo | Below median26th percentile · Stability | Model cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06 | Listings over sales pace. Under about 4 is a seller market, over 6 a buyer market. A Stability-category factor. |
| Days on market | not measured | - | derived | How fast homes sell. Lower means more liquidity and an easier exit. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Sale-to-list ratio | not measured | - | derived | Sale price over asking. Above 100% means homes clear over ask. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Net domestic migration | +1.3/1k | Above median57th percentile | Census PEP (county) · PEP vintage 2025 | Net people moving in or out of the county, per 1,000 residents. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Building permits | 27.2/1k | Bottom quartile21st percentile | Census BPS (county) · BPS 2025 | New-construction permits per 1,000 homes. More means more supply coming. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Rent burden | 37% | Bottom 10%9th percentile | Census ACS B25071 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Median rent as a share of income. Higher means less headroom for increases. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Median year built | 1990 | Top quartile76th percentile | Census ACS B25035 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Age of the housing stock. Older stock carries more capex. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Max drawdown | 7% | Top quartile84th percentile | Zillow ZHVI · 2026-08-31 | Worst peak-to-trough home-value decline on record. Shown for context, not scored. |
- * Job growth and unemployment are county-level (BLS LAUS, county FIPS 08119); large multi-county cities inherit their dominant county’s figures.
- Data flag: rentGrowth: under 10yr of ZORI history - recent window only.
Where to go next from Woodland Park
Every link below is this market's own data taken one step further: its neighbours in the ranking, the same numbers side by side, or the same numbers in a calculator you can change.
Nearby in the Colorado rankings, and national look-alikes
- Milliken, COGrade B · score 56/100 · yield 6.2% · $445,621 · #1,181 nationalZillow ZHVI $121k (2000) to $446k (2026), +269%
- Severance, COGrade B · score 55/100 · yield 5.8% · $493,669 · #1,198 nationalZillow ZHVI $185k (2001) to $494k (2026), +166%
- Broomfield, COGrade B · score 55/100 · yield 4.1% · $620,899 · #1,235 nationalZillow ZHVI $260k (2001) to $621k (2026), +138%
- Frederick, COGrade B · score 54/100 · yield 5.8% · $534,872 · #1,410 nationalZillow ZHVI $182k (2000) to $535k (2026), +194%
- Chesterton, INGrade B · score 55/100 · yield 5.6% · $348,708 · #1,211 nationalZillow ZHVI $197k (2005) to $349k (2026), +77%
- Mission, TXGrade B · score 55/100 · yield 7.4% · $219,583 · #1,208 nationalZillow ZHVI $110k (2007) to $220k (2026), +99%
- Mentor, OHGrade B · score 55/100 · yield 7.2% · $277,706 · #1,212 nationalZillow ZHVI $138k (2000) to $278k (2026), +101%
Compare Woodland Park head to head
- Woodland Park vs Milliken vs ChestertonThe pre-filled matchup: nearest in-state rank and closest national grade.
- Woodland Park vs Severance, COGrade B · yield 5.8%
- Woodland Park vs Mission, TXGrade B · yield 7.4%
- Pick your own opponentAny of the 5,233 tracked cities.
Underwrite a Woodland Park deal
- Cap rateOpens on Woodland Park's own entry price and rent. Change either one.
- Cash flow & DSCRMonthly cash flow and DSCR, prefilled with this market's numbers.
- Mortgage paymentP&I on Woodland Park's entry price at the assumptions shown above.
- All marketsCompare Woodland Park against 4,812 ranked cities.
- Colorado ZIP CodesEvery Colorado ZIP Code area (Census ZCTAs), scored separately from the city rankings.
- Ranked listsSix lists, each with a disclosed entry rule.
Ranked lists: Highest yield · Cheapest vs. income · Rent covers the mortgage · Under $200k · Fastest-growing · Most stable
For learning, not advice. A market screen from public data - not a forecast, not underwriting, not a recommendation to buy anywhere.