Rental market · Dalhart, TX · Incorporated city

Dalhart, TX: average rent, home values, and rental yield

On this page

West South Central · Population 7,902

DatasetCity Market Score, model balanced4,812 of 5,233 tracked U.S. markets rankedgenerated 2026-10-06Latest source releases: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI 2026-08 · Census ACS 5-yr 2024 · Census PEP 2025 · Census BPS 2025 · BLS LAUS 2025 · Redfin 2026-05 · FBI CDE 2025How this is built
B51.1
#1,806 of 4,812 ranked markets
Overall Score 51.1 · stronger than 62% of ranked markets
Confidence 70/100 · 2 of 13 factors imputed, 2 dropped
On the ranked lists: one of 494 markets at 3x income or less · one of 1,079 most stable markets. List pages show the top 100.
Grade B: the biggest single drag is Growth, 23.2 of 100 at 35% of the score, which is 76% of the distance to a perfect 100. See the arithmetic

Why this market does or does not qualify

Overall City Market Score rank #1,806 of 4,812. It does not enter the Buy & Hold shortlist under the baseline screen. Why rank and cash flow can disagree

Thin margin
Investor-entry estimate$116,588
Modeled rent$1,069/mo
20% down · base cash flow+$30/mo
25% down · rent stress to base−$10/mo to +$70/mo
Hold Coverage · 20% / 25%1.05 / 1.12
Conditional price ceiling · 25%$114,916
Required rent at entry estimate$1,085/mo
Limiting requirementDoes not pass the existing category-quality gate

Price × rent decision grid · 25% down

Change the two inputs that usually decide the deal. Green cells clear the three financial requirements before the separate quality and data gates.

Monthly cash flow / Hold Coverage10% below entry$104,929Entry estimate$116,58810% above entry$128,247
10% higher rent$1,176/mo+$230/moHC 1.44 · clears financial screen+$150/moHC 1.27 · clears financial screen+$80/moHC 1.12 · does not clear
Modeled rent$1,069/mo+$150/moHC 1.28 · clears financial screen+$70/moHC 1.12 · does not clear+$0/moHC 0.99 · does not clear
10% lower rent$962/mo+$60/moHC 1.12 · does not clear−$10/moHC 0.98 · does not clear−$90/moHC 0.87 · does not clear

Expense waterfall · base case

Monthly, rounded to $10. NOI excludes CapEx and debt service.

  1. Scheduled rent+$1,070/mo
  2. Vacancy allowance−$50/mo
  3. Management−$80/mo
  4. Maintenance−$50/mo
  5. Property tax−$130/mo
  6. Insurance allowance−$50/mo
  7. NOI+$710/mo
  8. CapEx reserve−$50/mo
  9. Debt service−$580/mo
  10. Cash flow+$70/mo
Base+$70/mo · HC 1.12Rent stress−$10/mo · rent −10%Insurance-expense stress−$30/mo · allowance 1.5%

Two supported strengths
Cash Flow 89/100 and Stability 67/100.

Weakest measured signal
Growth is the weakest category at 23/100.

Primary evidenced risk: job growth is the weakest measured factor (11th national percentile). Data caveat: price is Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI (5th–35th percentile); rent is ACS survey gross rent and is not bedroom- or property-matched. Insurance is a 0.5% annual allowance, not a quote.

Scenario buy-hold-v1-2026-09-19: 7% fixed financing for 30 years; 20% and 25% down; 5% vacancy; 8% management on collected rent; 5% maintenance and 5% CapEx on scheduled rent; measured local property tax; 3% closing costs. Qualification also requires positive cash flow, Hold Coverage at least 1.10, nonnegative cash flow after 10% lower rent, and the existing quality and data gates.

Property verification checklist
  • Confirm achievable rent with bedroom-matched comps, current listings, and any existing lease.
  • Use the parcel’s actual tax bill and reassessment rules.
  • Obtain a landlord insurance quote, including wind, flood, or named-storm coverage where relevant.
  • Inspect roof, structure, mechanicals, deferred maintenance, and immediate capital needs.
  • Verify utilities, HOA, licensing, inspection, registration, and local rental rules.
  • Replace the modeled loan with a current lender quote, points, closing costs, and reserve requirements.

Why this grade

Overall 51.1 is a weighted geometric mean of the three category scores. Because they are multiplied rather than averaged, their distances from a perfect 100 combine as an exact identity, and each category's share of that distance is the arithmetic below, not an estimate. Growth carries 76% of it, which is what makes it the binding constraint on this grade.

Cash Flow · 35% weight
88.8 / 100
6% of the shortfall
Growth · 35% weight
23.2 / 100
76% of the shortfall
Stability · 30% weight
67.3 / 100
18% of the shortfall

Inside Growth, the shortfall splits over the factors the model scored here, exactly, in proportion to their published weights. The largest component is job growth (weight 12 of the category's 35, 11th national percentile, 40% of the category's own shortfall); next is population growth (weight 12 of the category's 35, 28th national percentile, 32% of the category's own shortfall).

What this is not. It is not a claim that a different value on any one factor would produce a different score or a different grade. Every factor is scored as a national percentile and the grade is a percentile cut against the other 4,812 ranked markets, so this market's position moves only relative to all of them, never on its own. 2 of the 13 factors could not be measured for this market (violent crime, property crime) and had no credible reference group to impute from, so they are dropped: each category renormalizes over the factors that remain, and a dropped factor is never scored as neutral. 2 of the 13 factors were imputed (rent growth, months of supply): the model had no city input of the kind it scores, so it used a reference median instead of a measurement (the same county, or the same state and population band; a national median for a yield cost input), and the factor table marks each one as a fallback.

How Dalhart ranks nationally

Each row places Dalhart among all 4,812 ranked U.S. markets: the marker is this city, the centre tick is the national median, and the bar runs from one to the other. Further right is better for an investor; inverted measures (crime, vacancy, price-to-income) are already flipped.

Overall Scorethe flagship rank
51.162nd percentile
Cash Flowyield & affordability
8993rd percentile
Growthpopulation, jobs, income
238th percentile
Stabilitycrime, vacancy, unemployment
6786th percentile
Expense-adjusted yield4.7% net of costs
8787th percentile
Affordabilityprice-to-income 2.8×
92more affordable than 92%
Rental vacancy2.8% vacant
81tighter than 81%
Population growth-0.1%/yr (capped)
2828th percentile
Job growth-0.4%/yr (capped)
1111th percentile

What a deal looks like here

A market-level buy-box for Dalhart, built from this market's own numbers: the investor-entry price, its rent, and local carrying costs. The market grade is a quality screen; the deal verdict below is this financing scenario only. An illustrative scenario, not a listing.

Target buy price
$116,588
Expected rent
$1,069 /mo
Rent-to-price
0.92%
Cap rate
7.3%
Cash-on-cash
2.6% at 25% dn
NOI-based DSCR
1.22
Hold Coverage
1.12 after CapEx reserve

Thin margin. At 25% down, named scenarios span −$10 to +$70/mo after reserves (10% lower-rent stress to base case). This range is not a confidence interval.

Buy target = Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI (5th–35th percentile) $116,588; typical home value $200,547. Rent = Census ACS (fallback) (a typical all-homes rent, not tier-matched, so the ratio likely overstates the entry-level reality). Assumptions: 25% down, 7% / 30-yr, 5% vacancy, 8% management on collected rent, 5% maintenance, 5% CapEx reserve excluded from NOI and subtracted from cash flow, 0.5% insurance, 1.29% property tax. Illustrative market-level scenario: not a listing, appraisal, recommendation, or underwriting decision. Zillow price as of 2026-08-31; rent from Census ACS 5-yr 2020–2024; dataset generated 2026-10-06.

Typical home value $200,547 Median rent $1,069/mo Population 7,902 Region West South Central

Price & rent history

Home value $107,949 → $200,547 (2016-02–2026-08)

Asking rent: no Zillow ZORI series - Zillow does not cover this city (Census-only). Nothing plotted rather than estimated.

Source: Zillow ZHVI (home value), quarterly from 2016-02, monthly from 2016-09 to 2026-08. Change the range or hover to read any point. Gaps in the source series are left as gaps - never interpolated.

ZIP markets in Dalhart

1 Census ZIP Code (ZCTAs) officially overlap Dalhart by land area · 1 data-eligible for subscores. Overlap is Census land-area share, not a population or address share. Each ZIP Code's overall Rental Investor ZIP Score, grade and canonical national rank are shown below (the two component signals, affordability and rental market, are separate percentiles). There is no city-scoped ZIP rank: city overlap isn't a ranking universe, so only the national rank is shown. These ZIP rankings sit in the ZIP universe only, never mixed with, and not directly comparable to, Dalhart's city ranking. Vintage: the Key metric column below is Census ACS 2020–2024 (5-year), the same survey release as the figures used above for Dalhart itself; a city and a ZIP Code are different geographies, so the same measure can still show a different number at each level.

1 of 1 overlapping ZIP Code area, scoredgrade, overall Rental Investor ZIP Score and national rank for each, on a separate model from this page's city scoreShow table
ZIP CodeOverallgrade · natl rankTier · overlapAffordabilitysignal · natl rankRental marketsignal · natl rankKey metric
79022Dalhart B 57#5,260 nat RankedPrimary 53#8,333 of 20,132 · top 41% 64#3,750 of 20,132 · top 19% 7.4%Survey yield
Open these 1 ZIP markets in the explorer →

The honest read

Dalhart scores 51/100 overall (grade B): 89 for Cash Flow, 23 for Growth, and 67 for Stability, each a 0–100 score built from the factors in that category. The scenario above shows what a representative investor-entry purchase pencils out to at today's rates. Everything we can measure is in the table below, with its source.

Every factor, shown

The Overall score blends three category scores built from thirteen factors: Cash Flow (35%), Growth (35%), and Stability (30%). The tag on each percentile names the category a scored factor feeds; untagged rows are context, not scored. Each band chip restates that row's percentile in words. Every value carries its source and as-of date; a fallback source or imputed value is marked fallback. How the score works.

FactorValueNational percentileSource · as-ofWhat it means
Expense-adjusted yield fallback4.7%Top quartile87th percentile · Cash FlowCensus ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Annual rent divided by price, net of a modeled vacancy, tax, capex, and management allowance: the core of the Cash Flow category and what the score is actually computed from. The unadjusted gross yield is shown elsewhere on this page.
Price to income2.8xTop 10%92nd percentile · Cash FlowZillow + ACS income · 2026-08-31Home price over local median income. Lower is cheaper relative to what people earn. Part of the Cash Flow category.
Population growth-0.1%/yrBelow median28th percentile · GrowthCensus PEP · Census PEP 2020→2025 (vintage 2025) + Census PEP 2015→2025 (vintages 2019+2025)Census population trend for the place, capped at 4.5%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate): the heaviest factor in the Growth category.
Job growth-0.4%/yr (observed -0.3%/yr, capped for scoring)Bottom quartile11th percentile · GrowthBLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2019→2025 (pre-COVID anchor; 2025 is an 11-month average) + BLS LAUS county annual 2015→2025County employment trend, capped at 4.0%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate). A Growth-category factor.
Income growth4.1%/yrBelow median33rd percentile · GrowthCensus ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Local median-income trend. A Growth-category factor.
Rent growth fallback2.1%/yrBottom quartile12th percentile · GrowthModel cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year rent trend (the model's own weighting). A Growth-category factor.
Home-value growth5.2%/yrAbove median63rd percentile · GrowthZillow ZHVI · 3yr + 10yr to 2026-08-31A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year price trend (the model's own weighting). A small Growth-category factor.
Violent crimenot measured-FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this placeReported violent crimes per 100,000 residents a year (the FBI's monthly agency rates, times 12). No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. City-level data cannot resolve within-neighborhood risk.
Property crimenot measured-FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this placeReported property crimes per 100,000 residents a year. No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest.
Unemployment2.8%Top 10%96th percentile · StabilityBLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2025 (11-month average)County unemployment rate. Lower is steadier, a Stability-category factor.
Rental vacancy2.8%Top quartile81st percentile · StabilityCensus ACS B25004 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Share of rentals empty. Lower means more pricing power. A Stability-category factor.
Property tax rate1.3%Below median36th percentile · StabilityCensus ACS B25103/B25077 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Median tax over median value. A direct drag on cash flow, scored in the Stability category as carrying-cost burden.
Months of supply fallback4.4 moBottom quartile24th percentile · StabilityModel cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06Listings over sales pace. Under about 4 is a seller market, over 6 a buyer market. A Stability-category factor.
Days on marketnot measured-derivedHow fast homes sell. Lower means more liquidity and an easier exit. Shown for context, not scored.
Sale-to-list rationot measured-derivedSale price over asking. Above 100% means homes clear over ask. Shown for context, not scored.
Net domestic migration-19.4/1kBottom 10%1st percentileCensus PEP (county) · PEP vintage 2025Net people moving in or out of the county, per 1,000 residents. Shown for context, not scored.
Building permits0.6/1kTop 10%98th percentileCensus BPS (county) · BPS 2025New-construction permits per 1,000 homes. More means more supply coming. Shown for context, not scored.
Rent burden20%Top 10%98th percentileCensus ACS B25071 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Median rent as a share of income. Higher means less headroom for increases. Shown for context, not scored.
Median year built1978Above median53rd percentileCensus ACS B25035 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Age of the housing stock. Older stock carries more capex. Shown for context, not scored.
Max drawdown6%Top quartile88th percentileZillow ZHVI · 2026-08-31Worst peak-to-trough home-value decline on record. Shown for context, not scored.

Where to go next from Dalhart

Every link below is this market's own data taken one step further: its neighbours in the ranking, the same numbers side by side, or the same numbers in a calculator you can change.

Nearby in the Texas rankings, and national look-alikes

  • Keller, TXGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 3.8% · $653,856 · #1,774 nationalZillow ZHVI $238k (2000) to $654k (2026), +175%
  • Brookshire, TXGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 7.8% · $343,980 · #1,778 nationalZillow ZHVI $134k (2009) to $344k (2026), +156%
  • Lancaster, TXGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 10.0% · $270,106 · #1,813 nationalZillow ZHVI $78k (2000) to $270k (2026), +246%
  • Silsbee, TXGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 9.1% · $177,713 · #1,826 nationalZillow ZHVI $128k (2009) to $178k (2026), +39%
  • Kingsport, TNGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 6.0% · $257,154 · #1,807 nationalZillow ZHVI $97k (2000) to $257k (2026), +164%
  • Lacey, WAGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 5.0% · $509,747 · #1,808 nationalZillow ZHVI $145k (2000) to $510k (2026), +251%
  • Henderson, NVGrade B · score 51/100 · yield 4.5% · $479,263 · #1,804 nationalZillow ZHVI $178k (2000) to $479k (2026), +170%

All Texas cities →

Compare Dalhart head to head

Underwrite a Dalhart deal

  • Cap rateOpens on Dalhart's own entry price and rent. Change either one.
  • Cash flow & DSCRMonthly cash flow and DSCR, prefilled with this market's numbers.
  • Mortgage paymentP&I on Dalhart's entry price at the assumptions shown above.
  • All marketsCompare Dalhart against 4,812 ranked cities.
  • Texas ZIP CodesEvery Texas ZIP Code area (Census ZCTAs), scored separately from the city rankings.
  • Ranked listsSix lists, each with a disclosed entry rule.

Ranked lists: Highest yield · Cheapest vs. income · Rent covers the mortgage · Under $200k · Fastest-growing · Most stable

For learning, not advice. A market screen from public data - not a forecast, not underwriting, not a recommendation to buy anywhere.